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CA Topic

India & Global Stock Market Surge

Brief Context

Context India’s Nifty50 and Sensex indices have slipped about 1%, underperforming nearly every major global benchmark, while markets in South Korea, Japan, China, and the US have surged in recent months, rising between 2% and 21%. About the India’s Stock Market It operates under a robust and transparent regulatory framework overseen by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). It comprises two major exchanges: Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE): Established in 1875, the BSE is Asia’s oldest st

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Syllabus: GS3/Economy

Context

  • India’s Nifty50 and Sensex indices have slipped about 1%, underperforming nearly every major global benchmark, while markets in South Korea, Japan, China, and the US have surged in recent months, rising between 2% and 21%.

About the India’s Stock Market

  • It operates under a robust and transparent regulatory framework overseen by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). It comprises two major exchanges:
    • Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE): Established in 1875, the BSE is Asia’s oldest stock exchange.
      • It lists over 5,000 companies, with the Sensex serving as its benchmark index.
    • National Stock Exchange (NSE): Founded in 1992, the NSE revolutionized trading through electronic systems and efficient settlement mechanisms.
      • Its benchmark index, the Nifty 50, tracks the performance of 50 large-cap companies across key sectors.
  • Together, these exchanges account for nearly all equity trading volume in India.
Do You Know?
Stocks (aka shares or equities) represent ownership in a company. When one buys a stock, he/she is buying a small piece of that company.
Owning a stock means the buyer has three key rights i.e. ownership, profits (dividends), voting rights over the company.

India’s Market Performance

  • Record Capital Mobilisation: India is now the world’s leading market by number of IPOs and the third-largest by value, with 311 IPOs raising ₹1.7 trillion in just nine months of FY2025–26.
    • The market capitalization-to-GDP ratio has surged from 69% in FY2016 to over 130%, reflecting deepening investor confidence and economic expansion.
  • Expanding Investor Base: Investor participation in India’s capital markets has grown remarkably:
    • Registered investors increased from 43 million in FY20 to 137 million today.
    • Unique mutual fund investors now exceed 59 million, highlighting growing retail engagement in financial markets.
    • Increased financial literacy, digital platforms, and systematic investment plans (SIPs) have democratized investing.
  • As of 2026, India ranks among the top five global equity markets by market capitalization, with a valuation exceeding $4 trillion.

Concerns and Issues in India’s Stock Market

  • Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) Withdrawal: In the first 16 days of 2026, FPIs have already withdrawn $2.5 billion from Indian equities.
    • In 2025, the total outflow reached nearly $19 billion, marking one of the largest foreign sell-offs in recent years.
  • Valuation Premium and Earnings Mismatch: Indian equities have long commanded a valuation premium compared to peers in emerging markets such as Indonesia, Thailand, and South Korea.
    • However, this premium is increasingly unjustified by earnings growth.
  • Limited Exposure to the Global AI and Tech Boom: A major driver of recent global stock rallies has been the Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution.
    • Markets in South Korea, Japan, and the US have soared due to AI-led demand for chips, memory, and cloud infrastructure.
    • India, however, falls into the ‘low AI exposure’ category, meaning few listed companies directly benefit from the global AI surge.
  • Global Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty: A delayed or unfavorable trade deal impacts export-oriented sectors and investor sentiment.
    • Global funds are preferring more politically stable markets like Japan and South Korea.
  • High Domestic Valuations and Retail-Driven Volatility:Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) and retail investors have stepped in to stabilize markets while foreign investors are selling.
    • India’s retail participation through mutual funds and Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) has grown significantly, providing a strong domestic base.
  • Sectoral Imbalances and Concentration Risks: India’s market rally over the last few years has been narrowly led by select sectors, mainly banking, IT services, and energy.

Key Regulatory and Market Reforms

  • Under SEBI’s leadership, several landmark reforms have modernized India’s capital markets:
    • Reduced IPO listing timeline to T+3 days for faster access to capital.
    • Simplified norms for rights issues and enhanced anchor investor participation.
    • Online bond platforms to boost retail participation in the corporate bond market.
    • Strengthened disclosure and transparency norms for listed companies.
  • These measures aim to deepen the market, enhance liquidity, and improve investor protection.
Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)
– It was constituted as a non-statutory body in 1988 through a resolution of the Government of India and was established as a statutory body under the provisions of the Securities and Exchange Board of India Act, 1992.

Objectives
Investor Protection: Safeguarding the interests of investors in securities.
Market Development: Promoting the development of a robust and efficient securities market.
Market Regulation: Regulating the business of stock exchanges, intermediaries, and other market participants.

Foreign Investment and Global Integration

  • India’s equity markets have become a preferred destination for global investors, thanks to:
    • Stable macroeconomic policies.
    • Rapid digitization and fintech integration.
    • A strong regulatory reputation under SEBI.
    • India’s high GDP growth rate, which outpaces most major economies.
  • Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) have significantly increased exposure to Indian equities, particularly in technology, infrastructure, and financial services sectors.

Future Outlook

  • With sustained economic growth, demographic advantages, and proactive regulation, India’s stock market is poised to become the world’s third-largest equity market by 2030. The focus will remain on:
    • Expanding retail participation,
    • Enhancing corporate transparency, and
    • Strengthening digital market infrastructure.

Source: IE

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